一直在思考space的意义。真正会有很多人对于旁人的经历、心情状况十分感兴趣么？记得大一时班上的一个同学说过，人都不在意其他人的。于是，写space一定会有同学来看么？如果没有，那么与悄悄写自己的日记有什么区别？如果有，那么出发点是什么？是一种礼尚往来的仪式么？因为大家都渴望被关注？

很迷惘....

今天读到一首诗，Pope的，摘记如下：

Placed on this isthmus of a middle state,

A being darly wise, and rudely great;

With too much knowledge for the Sceptic's side,

With too much weekness for the Scoic's pride,

He hangs between; in doubt to act, or rest,

In doubt to deem himself a God, or beast,

In doubt his mind or body to prefer,

Born but to die, reasoning but to err.

看到过一句话说，哲学家不需要深刻，只需要天赋。这算是对当代教育的一种否定么？

GRE又废掉了一天....

还有15天倒计时了....

 

8月9号就要考机考了....看着那些网上的前辈，再对比一下自己，顿时自信全无....

不过，同学说申请数学的作文要求并不是很高，稍微松了一口气...

每天看作文也看得心烦，没事逛逛sina的astro版，拉琴也拉得实在郁闷...

现在把昨天写的argument贴出来，玩玩~

背了一遍新东方的书，抄袭了不少模版，估计这样，到时候不在3.5一下就奇怪了呢....

 

In this argument, the author recommends a general use of ultrasound machines which are able to detect plaque in blood in order to make overall medical cost in Corpora decreasing. To support this claim, the author cited the relationship between artery walls thickening and the risk of stroke, and then made a forecasting over people’s reaction towards the detect results. This recommendation, while suggestive in surface, suffers from three flaws in reasoning.

In the first place, the author makes an underlying assumption without evidence that plaque is the only reason for artery walls thickening, and moreover, stroke is solely caused by artery walls thickening. However, many other substances could result in artery thickening such as fat deposit, and additionally, other factors such as artery aging are as well the possible reason for stroke. Without ruling out these possibilities, the author cannot construct a solid relationship between the risk of stroke and the detection.

Secondly, the author provides no statistical evidence about the credibility of this type of machine. Chances are that this technology is not well developed enough to reveal any significant amount of plaque that could lead to stroke, or that the rate of correct diagnosis is not high enough to place any reliability upon it. If so, the practicability of this detecting method is thus rendered high suspect.

Thirdly, the conclusion that a probable decrease would take place due to early detection is based upon a questionable reasoning. Hardly had we been convinced that changing life-style would make no medical cost. For example, taking some chronic medicine regularly to ameliorate health condition, or supplying some appliance for health excising may need high expenses. On the other hand, the author commits a fallacy of ignorance in assuming that stroke is the only way of medical fee cost. In fact, a great many of other factors could make considerable influence upon medical costs, such as obesity, high blood pressure, heart disease and so on. The author’s failure in considering the effect of these factors renders his recommendation amount to poor advice.

In sum, the author’s recommendation is not persuasive as it stands. To make it convincing, the author have to establish a general relationship between plaque and the risk of stroke, develop a deeper insight about the detecting machine, make a full investigation about Corpora’s medical expense cost. Only after these steps shall we accept the author’s point of view.